Death rates 2019 vs Death rates 2020 per week

Death rates in the United States have been going down, not up, since the beginning of the year. If you pay attention to the news, you might assume that record numbers of people are dying. The opposite is true. Not only has overall mortality for the United States been going steadily downward since January, but mortality has been substantially lower this year than last year. These are weekly mortality statistics for the United States from the Centers for Disease Control:

Death rates in the United States have been going down, not up, since the beginning of the year. If you pay attention to the news, you might assume that record numbers of people are dying. The opposite is true. Not only has overall mortality for the United States been going steadily downward since January, but mortality has been substantially lower this year than last year. These are weekly mortality statistics for the United States from the Centers for Disease Control:

Week                   Number of Deaths 2019           Number of Deaths 2020

1                                  58,291                                           59,087
2                                  58,351                                           59,151
3                                  58,194                                           57,616
4                                  57,837                                           57,000
5                                  58,128                                           56,426
6                                  58,492                                           56,962
7                                  57,917                                           55,981
8                                  57,858                                           55,494
9                                  57,920                                           54,834
10                                  58,490                                           54,157
11                                  57,872                                           52,198
12                                  57,087                                           51,602
13                                  56,672                                           52,285
14                                  56,595                                           49,292
15                                  55,477                                           47,574
TOTAL                             865,181                                         819,659

We are told that 37,308 people have died this year from COVID-19 through April 18, yet actually 45,522 fewer people have died this year than last year during the same period of time.

https://www.statista.com/statistics/1109281/covid-19-daily-deaths-compared-to-all-causes/

The source: Arthur Firstenberg P.O. Box 6216Santa Fe, NM
87502 USA phone: +1 505-471-0129 info@cellphonetaskforce.org https://www.5gSpaceAppeal.org

 

 

 

52 thoughts on “Death rates 2019 vs Death rates 2020 per week

  1. Jim Thompson

    The numbers on death rates 2019 compared to 2020 were very interesting. I have searched CDC extensively and can not locate the numbers. Please provide me with the location within the CDC website. This is very important information you are providing. I would like to spread the message with ample documentation. Thanks

  2. Barb P

    Did you consider that the dramatic drop in transportation is causing a decrease in vehicular accident deaths? Most people are also not in harms way as often if they are home or close to home. Stop using statistics with limited details to prove your point.

  3. Jim Parker

    So, from where on http://www.cdc.gov were these data Pulled?
    I’ve been unable to find such.
    If you will direct me to the data at CDC so I may verify , I will broadly publicize.

    Thank you.

  4. Dejan Milinković

    Unfortunately, this doesn’t correspond to the data I was able to find on CDC site.

    Could you give us more details on this, maybe link to these CDC mortality statistics?

    Best regards,
    Dejan

  5. Shirley-Ellen

    2020 JUNE 30 8:21 p.m. Eastern Time.
    Just as Jim Thompson asks on April 29, 2020,
    The numbers on death rates 2019 compared to 2020 were very interesting. I have searched CDC extensively and can not locate the numbers. Please provide me with the location within the CDC website. This is very important information you are providing. I would like to spread the message with ample documentation. Thanks
    I too come up empty when I try to find these numbers.
    Please post where you are able to get these statistics AND please send me an email with that data. Thanks. Shirley-Ellen.

  6. Theresa Morris

    I’ve just been searching the same information. One explanation given is that because of the lockdowns, accidental deaths (3rd leading cause of death in the US) have gone down. (Fewer car accidents, etc.). What I would like to find is a year over year monthly or weekly total of deaths by accident so we can see the exact change. Further, I’d like to see what’s happened with cancer and heart disease death totals (they are 1st and 2nd leading causes of death). I suspect that those numbers are going down as well, as many of those deaths are being attributed to Covid-19. But that’s strictly suspicion until I can find numbers. If you’ve had luck with that, I’d like to hear about it!

  7. Sandra Sincell

    Can someone provide me with the correct number of moralities in 2019? And the number up to July 2020 from all diseases, not just Covid-19…Thank you…I have looked everywhere and can’t get a number..I got the numbers for 2017 and 2018 and this link above I can’t get to it because I am on a computer!

  8. Derrick

    In the article you suggest these are numbers released by the CDC. Would you please cite the source? The article linked is not from the CDC and doesn’t seem to pertain to the articles topic. I’m having difficulty finding it myself, but this is very important of true.

    Thank you.

  9. Michelle

    I can’t find the 2019 deaths from all causes numbers either, and I’m not finding a link in the article. 🙁

  10. Jenette R Copley

    I know these numbers are true but can you give me somewhere else I can verify the numbers so I have proof outside of your website.

    Would also love proof that hospitals are in on the scewed numbers because of the money they get if they put covid 19 on the death cert.

    I also looking for the facts about the vaccine they are coming out with.

  11. Don Rollins

    Here are the methods I used to arrive at number, I’m using 2018 but I’m sure you can get other years fairly easily:

    To get the total number of death in 2018 I use the following: https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/databriefs/db355-h.pdf — go to summary to get the total deaths for the year.

    To get the total number of deaths I used: https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid19/index.htm, Table 1 column 2, this doesn’t include Jan so…

    To get Jan numbers I went to: https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/covid-data/covidview/04102020/nchs-data.html totaled the first four weeks and took 3/7 ths of the fifth week (not 100% but close)

    Now I can get the total number of 2020 deaths and through July 31 we have ~63% the total number of deaths 2020 vs 2018 with only ~58% of the year past — sounds like a large uptick right? But even this doesn’t count for everything. Since I can’t find the monthly numbers for 2018 how do I account for when people die?

    I found a 2017 chart https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/68/wr/mm6826a5.htm that shows people like to bite the big one in the second half of the year. It seems pretty likely that our deaths to date are the same or lower than 2018. I didn’t try to crunch these numbers I just looked at the chart.

    Now we have a REALLY BIG DIRTY LIE. If we go back to the first link and look at deaths to date COVID, the news uses a slightly elevated number than the CDC issues (I don’t know where they get that from, but I doubt it is legitimate). But the number they are using is how many people die while being COVID positive. It doesn’t matter what actually killed you, did you have COVID. There have been cases where someone died in a car accident while being COVID positive and was called a COVID death. So we know these numbers are inflated (I’m going to say hugely, but that’s me).

    What I am pretty confident is that COVID hasn’t increased morbidity at all. It MAY have had an affect on the general downward morbidity trend over the last several years.

    I hope this helps.

  12. Dan

    https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid19/index.htm

    https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid19/excess_deaths.htm

    The first report is the important data,
    The second supports the subject however the subject report was not up to date. The number has slightly surpassed the expected deaths for the year.

    Keep in mind that we are at a peek elderly population from the boomers after WWII and that nearly 50% of the deaths come from nursing homes. Mainly in the states where the State forced Nursing home to take on Covid19 infected people. On the surface the motivation would be to reduce the number of people these broke states were paying for in the nursing homes. I think murder should be on the table as everyone knows Nursing homes are susceptible to influenza type diseases . But that is my opinion.

    Its very hard to find the right report, the Deaths peeked April 18th and is down 90% from the peek. So to date the over all death is slightly above normal expectations. Arguments about auto deaths are foolish.. 39,000 in 2019. Even if the number is zero, and its not. it would not explain the difference. Further for 4 months people that would normally have been diagnosed with cancer in time to treat it will not be diagnosed in time. Shutting down is nothing less than cannibalism.

    Here we are in August still being fools and slitting our own throats. Kill the Economy and their will be no hospitals, no doctors, no medicines, no food, no Nothing.

  13. Alex33

    Congratulation for publishing this data.
    Think about it, what are the chances we know correctly our past and future when we do not even know our present?
    Very sad, but keep laughing cose otherwise u will get depressed.

  14. PTYC

    The comparison is all deaths in 2019 vs only Coronavirus deaths in 2020. It is in no way comparing the same things.

  15. j d sizemore

    Strange is it not, such information for such an industrialized computerized nation is so hard to find?

  16. Nosheep

    Everyone should be asking themselves why it is so difficult to find the total number of deaths in 2019? Possible answer, you can code as many deaths as you want as Covid, but it’s really difficult to lie about total deaths so we don’t want you to be able to compare. In 2017, which is the latest year I can find information from the CDC, accidents accounted for approx 170,000 deaths. Even if those numbers are way down due to isolation, it shouldn’t make that big of a difference statistically. I bet 2020 death numbers will be even harder to find!

  17. J

    A. Who the hell is Arthur Firstenberg?
    B. Damn straight the CDC isn’t always accurate
    C. The CDC, WHO, NIH, FDA are ALL bought by the most $$$$ (see what the Cochrane Collaborative has become AFTER the gates foundation donation!)

  18. Nick Kautz

    If the CDC is managed by democrats , than the data will be withheld or manipulated to suit their election efforts. Wouldn’t be surprised if other countries are also seeing their right wing leadership being blamed and left wing incumbents praised by media. The BLM narrative is likely present in various iterations in other countries where liberal policy seeks control over conservative. It’s called liberal globalization and it’s a manipulative attempt to steal power by people who think their ideology is superior. But that’s an oxymoron , if you think your ideology is superior , you’ve just proven the opposite. So there’s a pointless global information war over ideological dominance that is fundamentally incompetent.

  19. Justamessenger

    Would be good information if it had a real source. The link doesn’t back up the table, and the article says the data is from the CDC, but the ‘source’ is a random guy in Santa Fe.

  20. Robert Kernodle

    I cannot verify these numbers either. Very frustrating. So, sorry, I cannot trust them. I would really like to. Find me the horse’s-mouth source of the numbers, and I will gladly promote it.

  21. David

    It’s not easy to find but it’s there. You can use the CDC’s tool, here: SOURCE https://gis.cdc.gov/grasp/fluview/mortality.html

    You can export the data to an CSV file.

    There is:
    NUM INFLUENZA DEATHS
    NUM PNEUMONIA DEATHS
    TOTAL DEATHS

    You will want to reference the Total deaths of course.

    I have spent a lot of time going through this data and CDC’s National Vital Statistics,
    Deaths: Final Data
    for each year which ends at 2017 – you will want to take population increase into account but if you take the time you can put the info together.

    This can be found, here: https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/products/nvsr.htm
    the you will want to reference: Deaths: Final Data for each year up to 2017

    Beyond that, you will have to use this tool : https://gis.cdc.gov/grasp/fluview/mortality.html

    Again, you will want to reference TOTAL DEATHS using this tool.

    I have a database along with cited sources for data that I have been working on because I know how frustrating it is to received vague data – so I took the time for my own peace of mind. Still working on other factors such as increased suicides etc.

  22. El Jeffe

    The reason we locked down was not specifically with the goal to reduce overall deaths. It was to flatten the curve (and in doing so, the same amount of deaths could potentially (and can still) occur over a longer period of time). The lockdowns were to prevent the overwhelming of our hospitals, staff, and their limited equipment and (back then) very limited understanding of how the virus spread and other variables about the nature of the virus. We simply did not know enough. We have learned a lot, and hospitals are more prepared and capable now. But, could still be better.
    My wife is a nurse just outside Seattle area, and when we saw how bad it could be (Italy, New York). It was very clear what we wanted…for her not to be instantly re-assigned to being triage nurse, watching people die unnecessarily without being able to treat people due to lack of proper meds, equipment, or available PPE.
    Had we not locked down, many, many, hospitals would surely have been overrun, and the numbers would not be as rosy as is shown and/or presumed here. At her hospital, the numbers rose rapidly initially, but then the effects of lockdown halted that growth, and it became a manageable stream (85-90% of max isolated critical care beds at her hospital) and hovered there for weeks. She saw it first hand.

  23. Pondering

    I took numbers from the CDC.
    You can download the data and see yourself https://gis.cdc.gov/grasp/fluview/mortality.html

    2019-20 flu season Oct 1 ’19 – Aug 29 ’20 TOTAL deaths from all causes = 2,869,000
    2017-18 flu season Oct 1 ’17 – Aug 29 ’18 TOTAL deaths from all causes = 2,733,000
    Difference = 136,000
    The percent of the population that has died increased by 0.033% from .84% to .87%

    If 200,000 deaths are partially due to this new flu, shouldn’t we be concerned about the other 2,669,000 deaths this year?
    According to the FBI, in 2019 there were 421,394 NCIC entries recording missing children, not dead, so not included.
    862,000 abortions were recorded in 2017, again not included in the total number of deaths in the CDC data.
    Drug overdoses at 72,000 in 2019 reported up by 13% in 2020.
    48,000 deaths from suicide and at least 1.4 million suicide attempts in 2018 expected to increase in 2020.
    Heart disease: 647,457
    Cancer: 599,108

    But we’re not talking about nutrition, exercise, clean living, spiritual and mental health, our souls or the Bayer/Monsanto trials?
    Can someone please explain why?

  24. jane

    I found everything you need here on the CDC web site.
    https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid19/excess_deaths.htm
    On this page scroll down to options and choose “weekly excess deaths”
    export the file.
    This file gives death counts by year 2015 to 2020 (by week) , location & cause of death. 2020 is filled out to week 36
    For example: 2017 total deaths 8,646,008 currently in 2020 we are at 6,205,339
    Deaths caused by Influenza and pneumonia:
    2018 – 227,066
    2019 – 188,142
    2020 – 155,120 to date this year

    You can break it down by week, any causes of death, any year, any state. I have just looked at the totals per year so far (other than Influenza and pneumonia:

  25. Mark

    These numbers are completely irrelevant and misleading because of their technique.

    Unbelievable but not surprising from this steaming propaganda machine. EXCESS DEATHS are counted when the numbers exceed the baseline but where deaths are BELOW THE BASELINE THEY ARE SET TO ZERO!

    LOOK YOURSELF:

    the link: https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid19/excess_deaths.htm

    The quote:

    “Number of excess deaths: A range of estimates for the number of excess deaths was calculated as the difference between the observed count and one of two thresholds (either the average expected count or the upper bound threshold), by week and jurisdiction. Negative values, where the observed count fell below the threshold, were set to zero.”

    That’s like calculating batting averages by excluding all cases where the batter struck out. Nonsense, but typical lies.

    We, the taxpayers are paying for our own propaganda and we are dying from alcohol and suicide. That is the truth.

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